Entries in social change (5)

Monday
05Oct2009

The Time Has Come

Copenhagen 09 is right around the corner. The first decade of the new millennium wasn't exactly the smoothest ride ever. We started off pretty badly and have gone down many bad roads in response to our fears, selfishness, and xenophobia. Copenhagen 09 is our opportunity to give the world something to remember this decade by. Let's stand up together and tell our leaders the action that we really want. Let's make this the defining moment of this decade. Let's take a stand.

 

 

Wednesday
17Jun2009

Settle the science of climate change - A response to the recent article in the Times Colonist

A recent article in the Times Colonist is a prime example of how the media can take information from sources that are less than credible and promote them as fair players in an intellectual discussion. Read the Times Colonist article and then check out the following analysis on the authors from a climate expert at the University of Victoria (Thanks Jeremy Fyke!).

Subject: Article Response: Settle the science of climate change (Times Colonist)

Hello,

I've spent some of my precious research funding doing some background on the NIPCC report.

As you will see below, I take square aim at the reliability of the authors. Far from 'a group of respected academics', they are at best academics (mostly retired) with a peripheral knowledge of current climate science research and memberships in free-market lobbyist groups, and at worst self-employed online bloggers, paid employees of coal industry associations, and retired welders (seriously).

In short, the writer of the editorial simply pulled this document off the web and with no QA/AC published it as an equal to the IPCC report. It helped that the Heartland Institute formed the report to mimic the layout of the IPCC report (right down to calling it the NIPCC, presumably to make the point that the IPCC is government-controlled, which it isn't). In fact, this is a completely biased piece of fiction that was funded and published simply for the benefit of special interests groups (namely, coal, oil and gas companies). Frankly I was blown away at how easy it is to link that fact up! It should not be taken seriously, even with a grain of salt. It has been roundly and universally discredited by climate scientists as cherry-picked nonsense.

Please spread the news far and wide, read below for details on all contributors to the report, and expect a letter to the editor from the UVic Climate Lab in response.

Jeremy Fyke, PhD Candidate
Climate Modeling Group
School of Earth and Ocean Science
University of Victoria

PUBLISHER:

Heartland Institute: "Discovering, developing, and promoting free-market solutions to public policy problems." Institute has directly received over $791,000 from ExxonMobil, continuously since 1998 (records exist to 2007).

PRIMARY AUTHORS:

  • Fred Singer: According to a January 2007 report by the Union of Concerned Scientists, Singer is affiliated with 11 think tanks and associations that have received funding from ExxonMobil. Singer's "Science and Environmental Policy Project" (SEPP) has recieved $20,000 from ExxonMobil. A search of Google Scholar with keywords "climate" and author "Fred Singer" indicates no peer-reviewed articles with Fred Singer as lead author (there are 2 in which he is a secondary author, in which climate model output is compared to observations). He is also well known for arguing against second-hand smoke as a cause of cancer (with proven funding provided by Philip Morris), and against the effects of ozone depletion.
  • Craig Idso: Founder and chairman of the board of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, which is funded in part by the ExxonMobil Foundation ($100,000 since 1998, up to and including 2007) and the Western Fuels Association, which "is a not-for profit cooperative that supplies coal and transportation services to consumer-owned electric utilities throughout the Great Plains, Rocky Mountain and Southwest regions". Craig Idso, along with his brother Keith, was a former employee of the Western Fuels Association, and a weblink exists directly from the Western Fuels Association to the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change (see here). The Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change scientific and policy advisors consist of (see here): a soil scientist, a plant biologist, a managing director of Summit Energy Group ("consortium of energy and natural resource consulting companies"), a president of a "non-profit organization dedicated to the principle that societal decisions must be based on best available scientific information", a forestery professor, a physics professor (interested in space plasmas), a zoologist, and a horticulturalist.

SECONDARY AUTHORS:

  • Warren Anderson: no background information found. No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Warren Anderson" in Google Scholar.
  • Scott Armstrong: MSc., industrial administration, PhD, Management. Currently Professor of Marketing, Wharton School (a business school), Pennsylvania.
  • Dennis Avery: Senior Fellow at Hudson Institute, "a non-partisan policy research organization dedicated to innovative research and analysis that promotes global security, prosperity, and freedom." Currently a food policy analyst.
  • Franco Battaglia: Professor of Environmental Chemistry, University of Modena. No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Franco Battaglia" in Google Scholar.
  • Robert Carter: Stratigraphic geologist. On the research committee of the Institute for Public Affairs, which is "an independent, non-profit public policy think tank, dedicated to preserving and strengthening the foundations of economic and political freedom"
  • Piers Corbyn: runs WeatherAction, which uses "Piers Corbyn's Solar Weather Technique". He declines to publish his techniques in peer-reviewed journals. His webpage says (including typos):
    "The technique uses predictable aspects of solar activity -particle and magnetic effects from the Sun -as the basis for forecasting weather many months ... and even years ... in advance." He carries out organized betting based on his weather predictions.
  • Richard Courtney: No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Richard Courtney" in Google Scholar. Formerly technical editor for CoalTrans International, the "web's most comprehensive resource" on the coal industry" and spokesperson for the British Association of Colliery Management, a British coal industry union.
  • Joseph D'Aleo: Execcutive Director, International Climate and Environmental Change Assessment Project, the Heartland Institute (see Publisher information).
  • Don Easterbrook: professor emeritus, Dept. of Geology, Western Washington University (Bellingham, Washington). Specialty: geomorphology, glacial geology, pleistocene geochronology, environmental and engineering geology. No peer-reviewed papers listed on "Publications" section of personal website.
  • Fred Goldberg: received "doctors degree" in welding technology. See published biography (from Arizona senior men's club) here.
  • Vincent Gray: No peer-reviewed articles on subject of climate change published. Last peer-reviewed article, on coal technology, published 17 years ago. Member of the Scientific Advisory Committee for the Natural Resource Stewardship Project lobbying group (webpage not currently active). Group refuses to disclose sources of funding, but Director is a registered lobbyist for the Canadian Gas Association and the Canadian Electricity Association.
  • William Gray: researcher, Colorado State University Tropical Meteorology Project.
  • Kesten Green: Research associate, department of Business and Economics at Monash University in New Zealand.
  • Kenneth Haapala: no reliable information available. No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Kenneth Haapala" in Google Scholar.
  • David Hagen: no reliable information available. No peer-reviewed aticles matching keywords "climate", author "David Hagen" in Google Scholar.
  • Klaus Heiss: no reliable information available. No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Klaus Heiss" in Google Scholar.
  • Zbigniew Jaworowski: Retired professor of atomic radiation. No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Zbigniew Jaworowski" in Google Scholar. Fraudulently claimed to have authored a statement titled "Climate change: incorrect information on pre-industrial CO2" for the US Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation.
  • Olavi Karner: Affiliated with Tartu Observatory, Estonia. Apparently, works on remote detection of clouds and time series analysis of climate data. Several peer-reviewed articles exist on Google Scholar, with only peripheral significance to climate change.
  • Richard Allen Keen: instructor, Department of Amospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado. One relevant peer-reviewed article matching keywords "climate", author "Richard Keen" in Google Scholar in which Keen is 3rd author on paper modelling precipitation variations over Greenland, 1993.
  • Madhav Khandekar: Retired Environment Canada scientist. 19 peer-reviewed articles found, relating to El Nino and climate. Listed as member of Calgary-based Friends of Science, which is 1/3 funded (as of 2006) by oil and gas sector, and the Natural Resource Stewardship Project lobbying group (webpage not currently active, see above for background).
  • William Kininmonth: Retired meteorologist. No peer-reviewed publications on "climate change" (desmogblog.com search). Writer for Lavoisier Group, founded by Hugh Morgan, CEO of Western Mining Corporation, and recent publisher of "Thank God for Carbon".
  • Hans Labohm: listed as one of the "nation's leading experts on climate change and related topics" and a former economist for Netherlands Institute of International Relations on Heartland Institute website (see above for background). No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Hans Labohm" in Google Scholar.
  • Anthony Lupo: associate Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Missouri. Meteorologist. Listed as expert member of Marshall Institute.
  • Howard Maccabee: Medical doctor, PhD in radiation biophysics. No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Hans Labohm" in Google Scholar.
  • Michael Mogil: BSc, MSc meteorology, former National Weather Service employee, online writer and math tutor (personal homepage here). No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Mogil" in Google Scholar.
  • Christopher Monckton: Officially the "Lord Monckton, Third Viscount Monckton of Brenchely". Trained in journalism. Listed as 'climate expert' by the Heartland Institute, and a Chief Policy Advisor to the Science and Public Policy Institute (president: Robert Ferguson, member of the Senate Republican Policy Committee and former Chief of Staff to Congressman Rick Renzi (R-AZ)).
  • Lubos Motl: former theoretical physicist. Retired 2007, age 36. Currently maintains personal blog. No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Lubos Motl" in Google Scholar.
  • Stephen Murgatroyd: "Author, consultant, imagineer" (personal website blog). Has "worked extensively in distance education, both at The Open University in the UK (1972-1985) and at Athabasca University (1986-1998 and 2003-2005). He also worked on e-learning and e-consulting activities while with Axia Corporation (1998-2002)." He is a "psychologist by training".
  • Nicola Scafetta: Research Scientist, Department of Physics, Duke University. Current research topic: "Nonlinear and stochastic mathematical models of complex physical and biomedical phenomena at the Physics and Medicine departments at Duke University, Durham (NC)". Published peer-reviewed work on solar output (Geophysical Review Letters, 2006). Work does not dispute human-induced climate change via greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Harrison Schmitt: former Apollo astronaut. From 1994-1998, Chairman and President of Annapolis Center for Science-Based Public Policy (currently Chairman Emiritus). Center has received $973,500 from ExxonMobil since 1998.
  • Tom Segalstad: Associate Professor of Resource and Environmental Geology and head of Geological Museum at University of Oslo. No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Tom Segalstad" in Google Scholar.
  • George Taylor: Instructor, meteorology, Oregon State University. Scientific advisor to Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change (see above for organization background). Peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "George Taylor" in Google Scholar involve details of Pacific Northwest observed climatology.
  • Dick Thoenes: Professor Emiritus of chemical engineering, Eindhoven University of Technology, Netherlands. No peer-reviewed articles matching keywords "climate", author "Dick Thoenes" in Google Scholar.
  • Anton Uriarte: Professor, Physical Geography, University of the Basque Country, Spain. One peer-reviewed article on climate change found on Google Scholar (regarding Younger Dryas paleoclimatic period, RAM: Revista del Aficionado a la Meteorología, 2003).
  • Gerde Weber: PhD, Meteorology. Currently, scientist with the German Coal Mining Association.
Monday
27Apr2009

Barriers and Benefits: Understanding Behaviour Change Choices

People make behaviour choices by balancing out costs and benefits of all of the alternatives available to them. In order to motivate behaviour change, we need to understand how our target audience is benefiting from their current behaviour, what is perceived as a barrier or cost to engaging in the desired behaviour, and how we can modify this balance. Our objective is to change the “marketing mix”, i.e. increase the barriers and decrease the benefits of the bad behaviour, and decrease the barriers while increasing the benefits of the desired behaviour. To do this, we must first identify the barriers and benefits of the desirable behaviour and the less desirable behaviour.

There are many reasons that deter people from participating in desirable behaviours. These reasons typically follow the pattern identified in the diagram below. Each audience segment will be at a different point along this spectrum. Identifying where they are at is the first step to determine the most appropriate actions to take first. In essence, we want to open the doors (benefit) for people to walk towards the behaviour we want them to do, and close as many doors (barrier) as we can between them and the behaviours we don’t want them to do.

                  

Lack of Knowledge: Knowledge is the foundation for any behaviour change. People need to be aware of the situation, and have a clear understanding of how they are contributing to the problem and what a positive alternative is for them.

Perception: People need to be able to view a positive desirable future. If actions are not perceived to be the social norm, or a desirable behaviour then the likelihood that they will engage in the behaviour is severely reduced. On the other hand, if people view the results of their behaviour to be positive (and specifically, if they perceive the costs to be less than the benefits) then they are highly likely to engage in the behaviour.

Skills: People learn skills best by seeing someone else do them. The best way to do this is to break the actions down into simple steps and use illustrations. People gravitate towards behaviours that they know how to do. If people lack the skills, then they may feel a sense of fear or apprehension about engaging in the behaviour.

Facilitation: It is unfair to ask someone to engage in a behaviour change if there are significant infrastructural barriers in the way. In addition, often people need adequate support networks to overcome practical obstacles to carrying out an action. Behaviours that are easy to do are more likely to be done.

Optimism and Importance: People need to believe that success is probable or inevitable and that action is needed and important. Recognize that people’s perceptions do not have to be logical. Often people perceive a behaviour to be probable, inevitable, needed, and important when in fact they are not. Forget or

Procrastinate: Even if people have committed to a behaviour change and feel it is important, they may often simply forget or procrastinate. This can be due to the patterns that have already formed in their lives. It is easier for people to maintain their current behaviour than to engage in a new behaviour.

Do not see success: If people do not connect their actions with a successful outcome, either for themselves or others, then they may not continue to engage in your behaviour. Social change occurs when people see the results of their actions, feel motivated to repeat the behaviour and tell others of their success.

Monday
16Feb2009

Beyond Mitigation and Adaptation

Findhorn EcovillageOne thing that has struck me recently is regarding the discussions around climate change mitigation.  Climate change mitigation discussions have largely been around grand engineering schemes, or changes in technology. These discussions pose to solve the climate problem by mainly changing how we get our energy. Unfortunately, these discussions fall into the same trap that has brought the human race to the situation that we are now in. The idea that we can somehow engineer our way out of this problem, or that our own ingenuity will some how allow us to maintain our extravagant lifestyles with minimal changes seems to be off track.

What if we already know everything we need to solve the problem but are just unwilling to consider the solution because of what we percieve the consequences to be for ourselves and our way of life? What if the solution means having less kids, redesigning our trade mechanisms, and learning to live with less material wealth? What if the solution is not about finding new ways to transport ourselves around the globe at 500km an hour, but about learning to love the place we already live? What if the solution is not about developing grand power projects to provide electricty to our HDTVs, but about learning to enjoy the outdoors and quality time with our friends and families?

Is it possible for the human race to break from the pattern of continuous increase in growth, population, and consumption? Is it possible for the human race to change its definitions of success and progress? I believe that it is possible, and it is becoming clearer and clearer to me that the solution is not in the ability of government to design programs to manufacture green technology or to institute fiscal policies like the carbon tax, but in the average citizen who decides that perhaps and HDTV isn't what she wants for Christmas, but perhaps a simple life with friends and family is more important.

Carbon emissions are a symptom of an unhealthy human race. But carbon emissions are not the problem. The problem is how we view the world and how we view each other. Until we get to the root of the issue, we have no hope at solving the problem.

Monday
05May2008

Biofuel - a symptom of an addicted generation

With world food shortages beginning to rage, the debates begin over the use of biofuels as an alternative to petroleum. Advocates of biofuels see it as a way to reduce our carbon emissions saving the planet from certain doom. Those opposed to biofuel see it as using valuable crop land for energy rather than food when many people in this world continue to go hungry. I disagree with biofuel for another reason. It is merely a straw upon which we grasp due to our complete and utter addiction to the pleasures that a high energy consuming lifestyle provides us. Look around the room you are in for a second. Take a note of what the materials are made of. How much is made from petroleum based plastic? How much of it took significant amounts of energy in manufacturing to make? Our society is so saturated in the benefits of petroleum that when the source of our addiction becomes more scarce, we are willing to sacrifice the lives of millions to continue to feed it. Whether through war, through irrational trade embargos or through the use of crop land to produce grain for biofuel, our motivations are short sighted and illogical. Just to put it into perspective, here are some stats for you:

  • The grain needed to fill a typical SUV's gas tank with biofuel would feed a person for one year.
  • The U.S. is now using more corn for production of ethanol than the entire food crop in Canada.

As the pressures on world resources continues to grow, it will become ever more difficult to justify our current lifestyles. Solutions to the climate crisis will come, not from ingenious ways to preserve our extravagance, but from a return to a simpler life that emphasizes family, community, well-being, and harmony. We should be focusing our efforts on allowing all humans to live well, not to live extravagantly. As the U.N. Food Chief stated: "Biofuels are a crime against humanity." I would postulate that the American lifestyle of single detached homes and SUV's, and disposable microwave dinners and Ipods, and 42 inch plasma TV's and Keynesian economics is the real crime against humanity of which I am ashamed to say I am a partner in crime.